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Market Commentary

As 2020 draws to a close, economic momentum is fading with infection rates on the rise, governments responding with more lockdowns, and few prospects for any major near-term fiscal stimulus. However, the global economy has the potential to make a full recovery in 2021, rebounding from the -4.4% decline in 2020 with growth of +5.2% in 2021, according to current estimates from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Election 2020

Recent positive COVID-19 vaccine may represent a light at the end of the tunnel; but the resurgent virus means we’re still in the darkest part of the tunnel.
Schwab Market Perspective: Vaccine News Improves Outlook
Market Commentary

Actual third-quarter earnings may be less important than what business leaders say about their expectations.
Election Day to Inauguration Day: a test for global stock markets
Market Commentary

Stock market performance during the transition period between outgoing and incoming U.S. presidents tends to be more dependent on the economic cycle than the election results.
Still the Same: Fed Keeps Monetary Policy Steady
Market Commentary

The Fed did not add to this week’s uncertainties and kept rates unchanged, while also providing no new information with regard to its balance sheet.
Too Much: Market Succumbed Again to Trifecta of Virus, Fiscal Relief and Election Uncertainty
Market Commentary

Last week ended with the S&P 500 having its worse week since March; amid surging virus cases and election uncertainty. Is the worst over?
Market Commentary

The S&P 500 posted the worst week since March, losing 5.6% over five trading sessions.
“De-globalization” Already Happened And It Didn’t Matter
Market Commentary

In 2020, politics and the pandemic have led to a lot of speculation that they could bring about an end to the rise of globalization—yet that began over a decade ago.
Mixed Emotions: Sentiment Telling Divergent Stories
Market Commentary

Investor sentiment is telling a mixed story about the market’s ascent since the March low; begging the question, will the skeptics converge with the optimists?
Global Impact of a “Blue Wave” Election Outcome
Market Commentary

The potential economic and market impacts a “Blue Wave” for the U.S. election could have on five key areas: taxes, labor, the environment, oil and trade.
Election Blues: Looking at Election History for Market Guidance
Market Commentary

With investors already on edge regarding election uncertainty, an “October surprise” arrives yet again. Can history provide some guidance on how elections impact markets?
Risk of Second Wave of COVID-19 Lockdowns
Market Commentary

The biggest political risk facing investors may be the potential for politicians to implement national lockdowns in response to a rise in new COVID-19 cases that could lead to renewed recession and a new bear market for stocks.
Brexit Is Back: The Endgame For Investors
Market Commentary

The risk of a “no deal” Brexit and the potential economic harm that accompanies it increased last week.
Market Commentary

Major tech-focused shares fell after helping drive the fastest stock market recovery in history.
Stock Market “Inequality” Hides A Big Change
Market Commentary

The recent imbalances in the stock market can lead to vulnerability; rebalancing portfolios may be valuable to help balance exposure to U.S. capitalization-weighted benchmarks relative to international stocks.
Bond Insights

The move away from a precise 2% target likely means short-term rates will stay lower for longer.
Confidence Is Everything: 3 Things May Shake It
Market Commentary

Confidence matters; faith in a brighter future drives risk taking, fueling growth through investment and consumption.
Market Commentary

Let’s take a look at how recent developments may have impacted long-term returns for stock market investors.
Stock Market Reaction to Expiring COVID-19 Programs
Market Commentary

If not extended or replaced, the fading support for the unemployed raises the risk of weakening economic momentum, turning the V-shaped recovery into a W.
Washington Watch

With an election in less than five months, lawmakers are scrambling to get work done before a possible change in the political balance in 2021. There are several key developments for investment advisors and investors to follow.
What A COVID-19 Second Wave Means For Investors
Market Commentary

A second wave of global COVID-19 is getting a lot of media attention, but the appearance of a global second wave of cases is primarily driven by the different timing of first waves across countries—rather than second waves within countries.

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Market Volatility

Current Market and Economic Environment Update

Market Volatility

Explaining the recent market impacts to the Schwab U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (SCHZ)